Current:Home > FinanceHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -Summit Capital Strategies
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-17 15:12:17
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (3266)
Related
- Bill Belichick's salary at North Carolina: School releases football coach's contract details
- Inside the Love Lives of the Stars of Succession
- Two New Studies Add Fuel to the Debate Over Methane
- Q&A: A Harvard Expert on Environment and Health Discusses Possible Ties Between COVID and Climate
- Juan Soto to be introduced by Mets at Citi Field after striking record $765 million, 15
- Arizona GOP election official files defamation suit against Kari Lake
- Paul McCartney says there was confusion over Beatles' AI song
- 7.5 million Baby Shark bath toys recalled after reports of impalement, lacerations
- House passes bill to add 66 new federal judgeships, but prospects murky after Biden veto threat
- Madonna postpones tour while recovering from 'serious bacterial infection'
Ranking
- Warm inflation data keep S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq under wraps before Fed meeting next week
- 21 of the Most Charming Secrets About Notting Hill You Could Imagine
- Premature Birth Rates Drop in California After Coal and Oil Plants Shut Down
- Trump and Biden Diverged Widely and Wildly During the Debate’s Donnybrook on Climate Change
- Selena Gomez engaged to Benny Blanco after 1 year together: 'Forever begins now'
- Washington State Voters Reject Nation’s First Carbon Tax
- Without paid family leave, teachers stockpile sick days and aim for summer babies
- California’s Fast-Track Solar Permits Let the Sun Shine In Faster—and Cheaper
Recommendation
Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Triathlon
Shift to Clean Energy Could Save Millions Who Die From Pollution
McCarthy says he supports House resolutions to expunge Trump's impeachments
Don’t Miss This $80 Deal on a $180 PowerXL 10-Quart Dual Basket Air Fryer
Bodycam footage shows high
Kim Kardashian Reveals the Meaningful Present She Gives Her 4 Kids Each Year on Their Birthdays
Arizona GOP election official files defamation suit against Kari Lake
A step-by-step guide to finding a therapist